REAL alpha ~ user_normal(0, 0.00001)
REAL sigma ~ user_gamma(1.00001, 1.0)

ENTITY county, "models/cancer/lips.data", "models/cancer/lips.neighbours"
{
	REAL x(3)
	REAL expected(2)
	REAL n = COUNT(&b)
	REAL q = SUM(&b)
	REAL t = q/n
	REAL b ~ user_normal(t, n)
	REAL mu = EXP(LOG(expected) + alpha * x / 10 + sigma * b)
	INTEGER obs(1) ~ poisson(mu)
}

# x = the persentage of farmland
# expected = expected count of lip cancer patients
# b = something spatial
# mu = the real count of lip cancer patients
# obs = observed count of lip cancer patients