Three Concepts: Probability, The Projects
Round 3: Results
The Contestants
Here are the participating teams with their scientists:
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|
| Team | Scientist |
|---|
| Team 3CP-A | TiedeUrpo |
| Team 3CP-B | Prophets |
| Team 3CP-C | OmaScientist8 |
| Team 3CP-D | Hehkutus |
| Team 3CP-E | M15 |
| Team 3CP-F | NeuralScientist |
| Team 3CP-G | Gargamel |
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The Trial
Each scientist was tested against a set of fifteen distributions. Each
distribution was tried eleven times independently with different random
seeds. Identical seeds were used with all the competitors.
The Results
Here are the results. Listed are the medians of the runs and
corresponding standard deviations in the parenthesis.
Columns are the distributions having not so evident,
yet not arbitrary names. Now, drums please!
|
|
|
TiedeUrpo |
Prophets |
OmaScientist8 |
Hehkutus |
M15 |
NeuralScientist |
Gargamel |
| Data1 |
1363 (936.0) |
1275 (419.2) |
1447 (6844.5) |
1196 (7615.2) |
1345 (402459.0) |
1070 (521945.3) |
2358 (13120.8) |
| Data2 |
371 (208.3) |
627 (279.0) |
480 (193.6) |
441 (5356.5) |
393 (181.6) |
414 (404356.1) |
917 (813.5) |
| Data3 |
449 (355.1) |
1131 (290.6) |
2076 (1073.8) |
964 (564.4) |
968 (1437.2) |
584 (930.7) |
2024 (5512.0) |
| Data4 |
239 (73.1) |
293 (97.1) |
192 (73.7) |
239 (136.8) |
260 (90.5) |
215 (61.7) |
526 (153.8) |
| Data5 |
291 (362.4) |
545 (231.1) |
327 (210.1) |
175 (479.9) |
294 (209.0) |
353 (271.8) |
516 (793.8) |
| Data6 |
300 (362.1) |
1049 (871.4) |
428 (250.3) |
523 (506.5) |
502 (15487.5) |
406 (191.1) |
4186 (15316.4) |
| Data7 |
3484 (2496.3) |
7099 (2150.2) |
1000000 (0.0) |
79418 (3775.9) |
1000000 (0.0) |
3745 (19840.3) |
1000000 (0.0) |
| Data8 |
687 (904.9) |
834 (417.6) |
755 (3065.0) |
6471 (8067.8) |
526 (404306.1) |
678 (504282.6) |
1056 (4545.0) |
| Data9 |
1819 (1005.7) |
2439 (1028.6) |
2065 (1143.0) |
2324 (3167.3) |
5422 (138617.0) |
1160 (466462.3) |
6245 (11002.4) |
| Data10 |
50 (7.8) |
60 (3.6) |
46 (18.0) |
53 (11.3) |
54 (14.5) |
36 (6.7) |
45 (9.5) |
| Data11 |
1119 (559.5) |
2641 (1721.9) |
1590 (801.4) |
3261 (51416.6) |
1207 (300884.7) |
1032 (509.1) |
9315 (8152.5) |
| Data12 |
225 (72.0) |
383 (217.0) |
296 (331.8) |
252 (121.3) |
261 (168.2) |
270 (133.0) |
839 (1405.9) |
| Data13 |
280 (155.0) |
370 (68.1) |
903 (300343.0) |
405 (1998.4) |
549 (404297.6) |
468 (466885.0) |
690 (1192.7) |
| Data14 |
341 (143493.8) |
670 (273.1) |
543 (3570.2) |
507 (1107.4) |
450 (301370.1) |
585 (466846.2) |
598 (10323.5) |
| Data15 |
227 (572.1) |
187 (36.3) |
166 (10809.6) |
249 (1499.2) |
637 (522084.4) |
123 (404471.6) |
487 (1981.4) |
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Round 3: Hall of Fame
Here's the ranking after round 3. We ordered the scientists per every distribution by the medians shown above and took the average position over the distributions as the final rank. As an interesting sidenote, lines of code and averaged guessing speed are reported for each scientist.
|
|
| Avr. Ranking |
Scientist |
LoC |
Guesses/second |
| 2.1 |
TiedeUrpo |
702 |
7500 |
| 2.4 |
NeuralScientist |
162 |
27000 |
| 3.8 |
Hehkutus |
209 |
1900 |
| 4.0 |
M15 |
114 |
13500 |
| 4.2 |
OmaScientist8 |
173 |
21900 |
|
| 5.1 |
Prophets |
265 |
4400 |
| 5.8 |
Gargamel |
432 |
18900 |
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